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Publications

The following publications have been prepared by members of the GVM network and relate to subjects of interest to GVM, notably aspects of the assessment, management and mitigation of volcanic hazard and risk:

2015

1 Bayarri, M.J., Berger, J.O., Calder, E.S., Patra, A.K., Pitman, E.B., Spiller, E.T. and Wolpert, R.L. Probabilistic quantification of hazards: A methodology using small ensembles of physics based simulations and statistical surrogates. (In Press, International Journal for Uncertainty Quantification, 2015).
2 Calder, E.S., Lavalee, Y., Kendrick J.E. and Bernstein, M. Lava Dome Eruptions. Academic Press. Encyclopedia of Volcanoes, Second Edition. (In Press, Jan 2015).
3 DeRoin, N., McNutt, S. and Thompson, G. (2015) Duration-amplitude relationships of volcanic tremor and earthquake swarms preceding and during the 2009 eruption of Redoubt Volcano, Alaska. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 292: 56-69.
4 Genareau, K., Wardman, J.B., Wilson, T.M., McNutt, S.R. and Izbekov, P. (2015) Lightning-induced volcanic spherules. Geology, G36255.1.
5 Loughlin, S.C., Sparks, R.S.J., Brown, S.K., Jenkins, S.F. and Vye-Brown, C. Global Volcanic Hazards and Risk. Cambridge University Press (In Press).
6 Ogburn, S.E., Loughlin, S. and Calder, E.S. The association of lava dome-growth with major explosive activity (VEI≥4): DomeHaz a global dataset. (Accepted to Bulletin of Volcanology, Jan 2015).
7 Rodgers, M., Roman, C., Geirsson, H., LaFemina, P., McNutt, S., Munoz, A. and Tenorio, V. (2015) Stable and unstable phases of elevated seismic activity at the persistently restless Telica Volcano, Nicaragua. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 290: 63-74.
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2014

1 Brown, S.K., Crosweller, H.S., Sparks, R.S.J., Cottrell, E., Deligne, N.I., Ortiz Guerrero, N., Hobbs, L., Kiyosugi, K., Loughlin, S.C., Siebert, L. and Takarada, S. (2014) Characterisation of the Quaternary eruption record: analysis of the Large Magnitude Explosive Volcanic Eruptions (LaMEVE) database. Journal of Applied Volcanology, 3: 5, doi: 10.1186/2191-5040-3-5.
2 Ogburn, S.E., Calder, E.S., Cole, P.D. and Stinton, A.J. (2014) The effect of topography on ash-cloud surge generation and propagation Montserrat from 2000 to 2010. The Geological Society, London Memoirs, 39: 179-194.
3 Spiller, E.T., Bayarri, M.J., Berger, J.O., Calder, E.S., Patra, A.K., Pitman, E.B. and Wolpert, R.L. (2014) Automating emulator construction for geophysical hazard maps. Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 2(1): 126-152, doi: 10.1137/120899285.
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2013

1 Ball, J.L., Calder, E.S., Hubbard, B.E. and Bernstein, M.L. (2013) An assessment of the extent of hydrothermal alteration in the Santiaguito lava dome complex, Guatemala: Implications for dome collapse hazards. Bulletin of Volcanology, 75: 676, doi: 10.1007/s00445.
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2012

1 Crosweller, H.S., Arora, B., Brown, S.K., Cottrell, E., Deligne, N.I., Ortiz Guerrero, N., Hobbs, L., Kiyosugi, K., Loughlin, S.C., Lowndes, J., Nayembil, M., Siebert, L., Sparks, R.S.J., Takarada, S. and Venzke, E. (2012) Global database on large magnitude explosive volcanic eruptions (LaMEVE). Journal of Applied Volcanology, 1: 4, doi: 10.1186/2191-5040-1-4.
2 Eichelberger, J., Marzocchi, W. and Papale, P. (2012) Identifying best practices in short-term eruption forecasting. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 93(1): 5.
3 Hillman, S.E., Horwell, C.J., Densmore, A.L., Damby, D.E., Fubini, B., Ishimine, Y. and Tomatis, M. (2012) Sakurajima volcano: a physico-chemical study of the health consequence of long-term exposure to volcanic ash. Bulletin of Volcanology, 74: 913-930, doi: 10.1007/s00445-012-0575-3.
4 Jenkins, S., Magill, C., McAneney, J. and Blong, R. (2012) Regional ash fall hazard I: a probabilistic assessment methodology. Bulletin of Volcanology, 74: 1699-1712.
5 Jenkins, S., McAneney, J., Magill, C. and Blong, R. (2012) Regional ash fall hazard II: Asia-Pacific modelling results and implications. Bulletin of Volcanology, 74: 1713-1727.
6 Marzocchi, W. and Bebbington, M.S. (2012) Probabilistic eruption forecasting at short and long time scales. Bulletin of Volcanology, 74: 1777-1805.
7 Marzocchi, W., Newhall, C. and Woo, G. (2012) The scientific management of volcanic crises. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 247-248: 181-189.
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2011

1 Aspinall, W., Auker, M., Hincks, T.K., Mahony, S., Nadim, F., Pooley, J., Sparks, R.S.J. and Syre, E. (2011) Volcano hazard and exposure in GFDRR priority countries and risk mitigation measures – GFDRR Volcano Risk Study. Bristol University Cabot Institute and NGI Norway for the World Bank: NGI Report 20100806, Bristol, 3 May 2011.
2 Bonadonna, C., Folch, A., Loughlin, S. and Puempel, H. (2011) Future developments in modelling and monitoring of volcanic ash clouds: outcomes from the first IAVCEI-WMO workshop on Ash Dispersal Forecast and Civil Aviation. Bulletin of Volcanology, 74: 1-10, doi: 10.1007/s00445-011-0508-6.
3 Bonadonna, C., Folch, A., Loughlin, S. and Puempel, H. (2011) Ash dispersal forecast and civil aviation workshop – Consensual Document.
4 Bonadonna, C., Folch, A., Loughlin, S. and Puempel, H. (2011) Ash dispersal forecast and civil aviation workshop – Model Benchmark Document.
5 Longo, A., Papale, P., Vassalli, M., Saccorotti, G., Montagna, C.P., Cassioli, A., Giudice, S. and Boschi, E. (2011) Magma convection and mixing dynamics as a source of Ultra-Long-Period oscillations. Bulletin of Volcanology, 74(4): 873-880, doi: 10.1007/s00445-011-0570-0.
6 Valentine, G.A., Doronzo, D.M., Dellino, P. and de Tullio, M.D. (2011) Effects of volcano profile on dilute pyroclastic density currents: Numerical simulations. Geology, 39(10): 947-950, doi: 10.1130/G31936.1.
7 Valentine, G.A., Shufelt, N.L. and Hintz, A.R.L. (2011) Models of maar volcanoes, Lunar Crater (Nevada, USA). Bulletin of Volcanology, 73: 753-765, doi: 10.1007/s00445-011-0451-6.
8 Webley, P.W., Dean, K., Peterson, R., Steffke, A., Harrild, M. and Groves, J. (2011) Dispersion modelling of volcanic ash clouds: North Pacific eruptions, the past 40 years: 1970 – 2010. Natural Hazards, 61(2): 661-671.
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2010

1 Deligne, N.I., Coles, S.G. and Sparks, R.S.J. (2010) Recurrence rates of large explosive volcanic eruptions. Journal of Geophysical Research, 115: B06201, doi: 10.1029/2009JB006554.
2 Horwell, C.J., Stannett, G.W., Andronico, D., Bertagnini, A., Fenoglio, I., Fubini, B., Le Blond, J.S. and Williamson, B.J. (2010) A physico-chemical assessment of the health hazard of Mt. Vesuvius volcanic ash. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 191(3-4): 222-232, doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2010.01.014.
3 Horwell, C.J., Le Blong, J.S., Michnowicz, S.A.K. and Cressey, G. (2010) Cristobalite in a rhyolitic lava dome: evolution of ash hazard. Bulletin of Volcanology, 74: 249-253, doi: 10.1007/s00445-009-0327-1.
4 Le Blond, J.S., Horwell, C.J., Baxter, P.J., Michnowicz, S.A.K., Tomatis, M., Fubini, B., Delmelle, C. and Patia, H. (2010) Mineralogical analyses and in vitro screening tests for the rapid evaluation of the health hazard of volcanic ash at Rabaul volcano, Papua New Guinea. Bulletin of Volcanology, 72: 1077-1092, doi: 10.1007/s00445-010-0382-7.
5 McNutt, S.R. and Williams, E.R. (2010) Volcanic lightning: global observations and constraints on source mechanisms. Bulletin of Volcanology, 72: 1153-1167, doi: 10.1007/s00445-010-0393-4.
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2009

1 Favalli, M., Chirico, G.D., Papale, P., Pareschi, M. and Boschi, E. (2009) Lava flow hazard at Nyiragongo volcano, D.R.C. 1. Model calibration and hazard mapping. Bulletin of Volcanology, 71: 363-374, doi: 10.1007/s00445-008-0233-y.
2 Mastin, L.G., Guffanti, M., Servranckx, R., Webley, P.W., Barsotti, S., Dean, K., Denlinger, R., Durant, A., Ewert, J.W., Gardner, C.A., Holliday, A.C., Neri, A., Rose, W.I., Schneider, D., Siebert, L., Stunder, B., Swanson, G., Tupper, A., Volentik, A. and Waythomas, C.F. (2009) A multidisciplinary effort to assign realistic source parameters to model of volcanic ash-cloud transport and dispersion during eruptions. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 186(1-2): 10-21, doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2009.01.008.
3 Valentine, G.A. and Perry, F.V. (2009) Volcanic risk assessment at Yucca Mountain, Nevada, USA: integration of geophysics, geology and modelling. In: Volcanic and Tectonic Hazard Assessment for Nuclear Facilities, Cambridge University Press, New York, pp.452-480.
4 Webley, P.W., Dean, K., Bailey, J.E., Dehn, J. and Peterson, R. (2009) Automated forecasting of volcanic ash dispersion utilizing Virtual Globes. Natural Hazards, 51: 345-361, doi: 10.1007/s11069-008-9246-2.
5 Webley, P. and Mastin, L. (2009) Improved prediction and tracking of volcanic ash clouds. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 186(1-2): 1-9, doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2008.10.022.
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2008

1 Chirico, G.D., Favalli, M., Papale, P., Boschi, E., Pareschi, M.T. and Mamou-Mani, A. (2008) Lava flow hazard at Nyiragongo Volcano, DRC: 2. Hazard reduction in urban areas. Bulletin of Volcanology, 71: 375-387, doi: 10.1007/s00445-008-0232-z.
2 McNutt, S.R. and Nishimura, T. (2008) Volcanic tremor during eruptions: Temporal characteristics, scaling and constraints on conduit size and processes. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 178: 10-18, doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2008.03.010.
3 Papale, P. and Longo, A. (2008) Vent conditions for expected eruptions at Vesuvius. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 178(3): 359-365, doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2008.05.012.
4 Valentine, G.A. and Gregg, T.K.P. (2008) Continental basaltic volcanoes – Processes and problems. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 177(4), 857-873, doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2008.01.050.
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2007

1 Carn, S.A., Krotkov, N.A., Yang, K., Hoff, R.M., Prata, A.J., Krueger, A.J., Loughlin, S.C. and Levelt, P.F. (2007) Extended observations of volcanic SO2 and sulfate aerosol in the stratosphere. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, European Geosciences Union (EGU), 7(1): 2857-2871.
2 Horwell, C.J. (2007) Grain-size analysis of volcanic ash for the rapid assessment of respiratory health hazard. Journal of Environmental Monitoring, 9(10): 1107-1115.
3 Loughlin, S.C., Baxter, P.J., Aspinall, W.P., Darroux, B., Harford, C.L. and Miller, A.D. (2002) Eyewitness accounts of the 25 June 1997 pyroclastic flows and surges at Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat, and implications for disaster mitigation. Geological Society, London, Memoirs, 21(1): 211-230.
4 Marzocchi, W., Neri, A., Newhall, C.G. and Papale, P. (2007) Probabilistic volcanic hazard and risk assessment quantifying long‐and short‐term volcanic hazard: Building up a common strategy for Italian volcanoes, Erice, Italy, 8 November 2006. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 88(32): 318-318.
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2006

1 Horwell, C.J. and Baxter, P.J. (2006) The respiratory health hazards of volcanic ash: a review for volcanic risk mitigation. Bulletin of Volcanology, 69(1): 1-24, doi: 10.1007/s00445-006-0052-y.
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2003

1 Horwell, C.J., Sparks, R.S.J., Brewer, T.S., Llewellin, E.W. and Williamson, B.J. (2003) Characterization of respirable volcanic ash from the Soufrière Hills volcano, Montserrat, with implications for human health hazards. Bulletin of Volcanology, 65(5): 346-362, doi: 10.1007/s00445-002-0266-6.
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1996

1 McNutt, S.R. (1996) Seismic monitoring of volcanoes: A review of the state of the art and recent trends. In: R. Scarpa and R. Tilling (eds) Monitoring and Mitigation of Volcano Hazards, Springer-Verlag, Berlin, pp.99-146.
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1994

1 McNutt, S.R. (1994) Volcanic tremor amplitude correlated with eruption explosivity and its potential use in determining ash hazards to aviation. USGS Professional Paper, 2047, 377-385.

 

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